Nintendo has issued what industry experts describe as a "cautious" sales projection for the Switch 2, citing ongoing tariff concerns. During today's financial report, the company forecast selling 15 million Switch 2 consoles and 45 million games through March 2026. The next-gen console launches June 5th.
The forecast accounts for current U.S. tariff rates implemented April 10th, though Nintendo acknowledged potential impacts if these rates change. "We're closely monitoring market conditions to adjust our strategy accordingly," the company stated.
Niko Partners' Research Director Daniel Ahmad called the 15 million target "moderate," noting on Twitter that Nintendo appears to be accounting for uncertainties around tariffs, pricing and manufacturing despite strong pre-order numbers. Ahmad suggested Nintendo might revise projections upward if tariffs ease, but cautioned about current supply chain challenges complicating the launch.
Notably, selling 15 million units would make Switch 2 one of history's most successful console launches, surpassing the original Switch's first-year sales of 14.87 million.
AnswerSee ResultsConsumer interest appears overwhelming. After tariff-related delays, pre-orders launched April 24th at $449.99 and quickly sold out. Nintendo has warned U.S. customers that release date deliveries aren't guaranteed due to extraordinary demand.
For complete purchasing details, visit IGN's Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order guide.
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